After six years of fruitless,
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Form guru Gary Crispe believes Mount Athos "fits the profile” of a Melbourne Cup winner as he excels in stamina tests,
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Perhaps it is galling to many Australian sports fans that England’s cricket team currently holds the Ashes and now one of their horses is about to win the nation’s most famous race,
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Start of sidebar,
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"Luca Cumani started his quest to win the Cup back in 2006 with Glistening who ran 10th behind Delta Blues,
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"But this year Cumani has bought a higher rated horse than all those in Mount Athos who boasts a Timeform rating of 123,
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Nike Free Run 2 Gris Azul Mujeres Buena Calidad y El Envío Rápido. He then took on a strong line up in the prestigious Listed John Smith’s Silver Cup over 2816m at York which he won brilliantly by four lengths from High Jinx despite carrying 63,
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High Jinx has franked that form since with Group 1 and 2 placings,
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Mount Athos then faced a tougher test last start in the Group 3 Geoffrey Freer Stakes (2670m) at Newbury. With Melbourne Cup jockey Ryan Moore in the saddle,
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"The Brown Panther form line is worthy of mention,
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"In the Melbourne Cup,
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Mount Athos has not raced since mid August but that should not be an issue as he won the Silver Cup off a 56 day break,
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Crispe said Mount Athos will need to produce a career best run as today’s Melbourne Cup field contains 13 runners rated Timeform 120 and above,
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For the first time since 1995,
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"It is probably the first time ever that the last two Cup quinella pairs (Dunaden/Red Cadeaux 2011) and (Americain/Maluckyday 2010) have ever contested the race,
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The best chance of a "local” success rests with the Team Williams stayer Green Moon,
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Under an injury cloud last week after his unplaced run in the Cox Plate,
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"If he has fully recovered then he is much better placed under the handicap conditions,
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"At his previous start he won the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes over 2000m at Flemington from stablemate Seville,
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"While the Cox Plate did not go to plan,
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Crispe believes the overseas raiders will dominate today’s Melbourne Cup with the first eight over the line being northern hemisphere bred and the only Australian trained galloper to figure in the finish will be Gai Waterhouse’s Fiorente,
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