Never a popular figure,
Por Otra Parte, much less a loved one, since he assumed power, he was not always a hated figure either. While not crediting him with charisma, many in Egypt have given him plus marks for his moderation and for providing stability.
His regime’s success in curbing domestic terrorism has not been a small achievement.
However,
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People want him to go, they are clamouring for change,
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They want their voice to be heard,
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Significantly,
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He is manoeuvring for an orderly,
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The developments in Egypt may make exciting news, but the uncertainties surrounding them invite circumspection. The drama being enacted on the streets may not have a devoutly wished for ending.
Mubarak is so far resisting external pressure to begin the transition now, which pre supposes his early exit. For Egypt’s western backers Mubarak is expendable,
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American anxiety would be understandable because Eygpt has been the cornerstone of their West Asian strategy since 1979. The military neutralisation of Egypt through the Egypt Israel peace treaty, propped by massive US aid, has protected the area from a larger conflagration even as the Israeli Palestinian problem has incessantly smouldered. The US has interest in a rapid de escalation of the internal situation, even as it would want the basic state apparatus to survive to ensure that the levers of power do not move into wrong hands.
Its huge stakes require it to be seen siding with the public demand for change, both to avoid being identified with political immobility in Egypt and stave off the street unrest from acquiring more pronounced anti American tones. To be fair,
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The Europeans have been cautious in demanding frontally the immediate departure of Mubarak or early elections,
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Hectic negotiations are evidently afoot to find a viable solution that eliminates Mubarak from power, allows the military to retain control,
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Mubarak has always argued that his autocratic rule was necessary to keep the Muslim at bay,
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Some analysts downplay the ‘s threat, limiting its electoral support to 20 to 30 per cent,
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Although Egypt has 24 political parties, these are inconsequential ones,
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These motley parties cannot become credible political players in the few months ahead, assuming major political reforms are introduced. El Baradei has no political organisation behind him for fighting an election,
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India has been prudent and balanced in its statements on the Egyptian developments.
We have to view the situation not as exciting news footage, demanding highsounding statements on the virtues of democracy and ousting of unpopular regimes. Our position on Egypt has to be consistent with our position on Myanmar,
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